Solana risks repeating 95% crash seen in 2022 while funding in Mutuum Finance nears $21m

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As Solana shows technical signals reminiscent of its 2022 downturn, investors are increasingly watching emerging DeFi projects like Mutuum Finance.

Summary

  • Despite strong network metrics and growing on-chain activity, Solana remains in a long-term descending channel with indicators such as the monthly SuperTrend flashing a sell signal similar to conditions preceding its 2022 crash.
  • Mutuum Finance is developing a non-custodial lending protocol on Ethereum that supports both Peer-to-Contract and Peer-to-Peer lending models.
  • The project has raised over $20.7 million from more than 19,000 holders, with smart contracts audited by Halborn Security and the token reviewed by CertiK, while its V1 protocol is live on the Sepolia testnet.

Solana (SOL) is trading at levels that have prompted comparisons to its 2022 cycle, when the token declined roughly 95%. The current price structure has shown signs of weakness, with resistance zones capping upside attempts and momentum remaining fragile. Meanwhile, Mutuum Finance (MUTM) has seen funding approach the $21 million mark. The project operates a non-custodial lending and borrowing protocol within the decentralized finance sector, and the capital inflow reflects continued investor participation during a period of uncertainty for larger-cap assets.

Solana bearish trend persists

Solana’s real-world asset ecosystem reached $1.66 billion in tokenized value, reflecting increased on-chain capital movement and institutional participation. The network ranked among the leading Layer 1 chains in dApp revenue and recorded a rise in app revenue capture ratio from 262% to 375%, supported by strong network activity and spot ETF inflows. 

Despite these metrics, SOL remains in a long-term descending channel on the weekly chart. Analysts identify price imbalances up to $140 that could be filled before a potential test of the $47.9 extension level. The monthly SuperTrend indicator has flipped to a “sell” signal, a condition last seen in 2022 before a 95% decline. While network fundamentals show growth, the prevailing technical structure remains bearish. Meanwhile, Mutuum Finance sees strong growth.

Mutuum Finance lending 

Built on the Ethereum network, Mutuum Finance is a new decentralized lending and borrowing protocol. It is a non-custodial platform, allowing users complete control over their funds. The project offers flexibility through its dual lending model, supporting both Peer-to-Contract (P2C) and Peer-to-Peer (P2P) lending. In the P2C system, users can deposit widely used assets like USDT or ETH into shared liquidity pools and earn interest automatically; for example, a $50,000 USDT deposit at 8% APY would grow to $54,000 over a year without additional action, while borrowers provide overcollateralized assets at dynamic rates based on pool demand. 

The P2P model, on the other hand, caters to high-volatility tokens, allowing direct negotiations between borrowers and lenders; for instance, an investor holding $25,000 in a meme coin like PEPE could obtain a $13,800 USDC loan at 14% APY with 180% overcollateralization, preserving exposure to potential gains in PEPE while providing the lender $966 in interest in 6 months. 

Security and community engagement

Mutuum Finance’s lending and borrowing smart contracts recently underwent a full audit by Halborn Security. The project team incorporated all recommendations highlighted by the security firm before the protocol’s testnet debut. The MUTM token itself has also been audited by CertiK, achieving a token scan score of 90/100. MUTM is priced at $0.04, with more than 19,070 holders and over $20.72 million committed to the project.

Solana is currently down 73% from its $294 ATH, following sharp downturns since Q4 2025. Frequent whale selling and profit-taking have further eroded confidence in the token. Meanwhile, Mutuum Finance shows steady development. Its V1 Protocol is live on the Sepolia testnet, allowing users to test the protocol’s core features, including staking, borrowing, and lending. Users can borrow and lend ETH, USDT, LINK, and WBTC, which are the supported test tokens. The testnet also includes an automated liquidator bot, which maintains protocol health. 

As Solana risks repeating its 95% crash from 2022, with bearish technical signals and a sell signal on the monthly SuperTrend, investors are cutting their losses to seek alternative market plays. Meanwhile, strong capital inflows are being reported for Mutuum Finance (MUTM), whose funding is approaching $21 million. Built on Ethereum, MUTM offers a non‑custodial lending protocol with a dual‑market structure, live on Sepolia testnet, audited by Halborn and CertiK.

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